Russia Is NOT Losing

In fact, Russia is winning and has been winning from the start, which Kyiv and NATO propaganda try to coverup with PR victories and "fake it till you make it" scheme

Jun 15, 2024

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Reading time: 39 minutes (44 minutes with footnotes)

Welcome to the peace initiative for Ukraine in which you can contibute by raising your awareness as well as your consciousness^[+] and spirit to the modes^[+] of neutrality^[*^], decency, respectfulness, wisdom^[*^], objectivity, mastery of the intellect, surrender (ego and mind to God’s will), and finally peace (inner then outer). To properly grasp everything, we recommend reading the articles of this peace initiative in the order that we^[*^] designed it, which is listed in the Contents. So if you haven’t read the previous articles, we urge you to do it, please. Did you read the this “Reality Checks” segment from the beginning? Please, do so for a better grasp of the topic of this article: The Real Beginning of the War in Ukraine.

Joke of the day:

“Russia is already dead, but it doesn’t know it yet” ^[»] – Mykhailo Podolyak, the advisor to the head of the Office of the President of Ukraine said in January 2024 and he was not joking. Nurse! He controls the Kyiv propaganda or entire information policy of the Office of the President and even advises Zelensky. Greetings from loonyville! The level of the Kyiv regime's1 either delusion or deceit or projection is shocking. If anyone is dead, it is cuckoo's nest Ukraine, of course.

Podolyak also said in July 2023^[+]^[+]^[+] that by July 2024, Russia will finally cease to exist as a country! Equally cuckoo was Zelensky saying^[+] in mid-May 2023 that Ukraine can defeat Russia by end of 2023. And all these things get even published by the gonzo journalists2 of Western MSM, who, in the style of tabloid journalism, never question mental health or cognitive dysfunction of their Ukrainian interviewees, craftily refraining from objectivity by disseminating subjective views including emotional appeals and rhetoric. What comes out of the mouths of the Kyiv officials is sometimes so far-out or dumb that it makes us wonder if it is indeed true what Putin said about the Ukrainian authorities when he called them "a gang of drug-addicts and neo-Nazis", or perhaps they are just mentally handicapped (which is also mostly applicable to drug-addicts and neo-Nazis).

It is Podolyak's (and his gang of propagandists) fault that Ukraine became the laughing stock of the world.

Before we lay out evidence that Russia is not losing but winning, here is why the need to do so. If we should believe NATO main stream media^[+], Putin has led Russia to failure – they wrote that just days after Russia seized Bakhmut/Artyomovsk! Who do they think is their audience – retards?! And the supposed evidence they claimed were the words of none other than the head of the Russian Wagner Yevgeny Prigozhin, who won the Bakhmut/Artyomovsk battle. In a pathetic effort to twist this victor's words, these spin doctors attempted to somehow spin this Russian great victory into a failure. Duh. Who on Earth was buying this?! And who on Earth continues to read or buy papers like Business Insider3 after so many of their such nonsense^[+]^[+]?!

The reality of war in Ukraine keeps coming to light more and more with prominent brave Western pundits who, despite being condemned as Russian agents, dare to state the truth of the matter that Russia is winning this war, which means we must end this war on Russian terms rather than support reckless Ukrainian regime in their irrational and genocidal insisting on fighting till last Ukrainian until Russia pulls its troops out of Ukraine (which is impossible because it would be against Russian Constitution since these territories belong to Russia now, as before the USSR times).

For instance, in a state TV program^[»] with Wolfram Weimer^[+] in April 2023, some Germans came to an understanding that “Russians have won the war”. Also, among others, the most prominent and highest-rated now-former prime-time TV host Tucker Carlson (fired by Murdoch from Fox News in April 2023) had been the only mainstream media host reporting about disinformation in the West4 about this war and revealing the facts^[»]^[»] about the war and its prospects, such as that “Ukraine is, in fact, losing the war” and that “seven Ukrainians are being killed for every Russian”, which cannot be sustained or lead to Ukrainian victory.
And here is even former Ukrainian President (2014-2019) Poroshenko saying^[»] on national TV in October 2024 that neither he nor Zelensky nor Zaluzhny will win the next election in Ukraine but Putin will! He is a notorious Russophobe, so if he is admitting this, you better believe it.

And another reality must be regarded as the most important fact, which is that Russia cannot afford to lose this proxy war^[*^]^[+] against NATO because it sees NATO as an existential threat, which means that it will use nuclear arms to win the war if it needs to. With constant threats from anti-Russian NATO’s military bases and ballistic missiles across its borders, Russia views this war as an existential war – it needs to diminish NATO’s power to threaten Russia (as well as Russia’s allies, such as Serbia, Syria, etc.). In other words, if the US with its NATO allies causes Russia to fail, Russia will have no choice but to prevent that with its nuclear power. But Russian true friends and allies, such as China, Belarus, Kazakhstan, North Korea, Iran, Syria, India, Brazil, South Africa, Serbia, and many others will not let Russia be destroyed and will surely come to the rescue if needed, which means Ukraine has no chance whatsoever to win this war, being stuck between NATO and Russia with its allies.

Even after the Ukrainian failed 2023 counteroffensive, as Russia obviously defeated Ukraine in that counteroffensive, many high-profile NATO officials kept parroting the narrative of Russia losing the war or being defeated:

🔵   “Putin may be about to lose Crimea”^[+] – The Telegraph in mid-June 2024
🔵   “Putin Admits he’s lost the War”^[+] (offers no proof that Putin ever admitted that but is drawing it from Putin's generous and pacifist offer for ceasefire) and “Reasons the Russians are Failing in Ukraine”^[+] – Medium in May 2024
🔵   “Russia can lose this war”^[+]^[+] – American historian and propagandist, Professor of History at Yale University, Timothy Snyder on CNN on 8 May 2024
🔵   “Russia suffered a strategic defeat in Ukraine”^[»] – US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in April 2024
🔵   “Russia is failing on strategic goals. It is first and foremost a military failure.” ^[»] – EU President Ursula von der Leyen repeated on 16 January 2024
🔵   “Russia suffered ‘strategic defeat’ in Ukraine… President Putin has lost Ukraine forever.*” – NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said^[+] on 22 December 2023
*It is not true and Putin does not care. Russians do not want Ukraine; they^[+] “are happy the EU took the burden of alimenting Ukrainian freeloaders off their back.”
🔵   “It is very clear that Russia clearly they're very desperate, they have already experienced a strategic failure.” ^[»] – Kamala Harris5, hallucinating in September 2023.Hmm, we’re not sure about that. Those NATO states’ heads keep on repeating^[+]^[»]this mantra of “Russia's strategic failure” but what does that even mean? If Russia suffered from military or economic failure, they would surely be the first to report it but since they can't really say that without being ridiculed, they invented this phrase of “strategic failure” as no one can deny it as no one even knows what that really means.
🔵   “Putin's already lost the war in Ukraine.”^[»] – not-playing-with-a-full-deck US President Joe Biden made a bizarre statement on a global stage (not in a pub) in mid-July 2023, amidst a widely recognized failing Ukrainian counteroffensive. Hurrah! Can we all go back to our lives now? Well, nah, just because he said it, it doesn't make it true. However, it makes him either insane or a liar.
And the proof that this was not just one of his gaffes or wishful thinking is the fact that his Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, said^[»] it on 14 July, too, and the Western MSM reported it back to us. Because they can. Because we're so stupid, we'd trip over a wireless phone! Zing!
🔵   In May 2023, delirious Blinken6 proclaimed victory over Russia by saying^[»]: “Russia has actually already failed in Ukraine. I say this in the sense that initially they tried to erase Ukraine from the map.” Eh? Huh? Gee, that's super! But when did Kremlin ever spoke or indicated such a plan?! And to speak of failures, was this war already over then?
🔵   “Russia had failed in the three objectives it had in starting the war in Ukraine.”^[+] – the White House Security Adviser, moonstruck Jake Sullivan in March 2022. Woohoo, let's celebrate! Never mind that Russia at no time has ever claimed any of those fictional objectives and that NATO failed to deter Russia from invading Ukraine. It is like saying Russia failed at conquering Poland :) Wow, we won then! Fa-fa- fantastic!

We are worried about their mental health and cognitive dysfunction. Despite all Russian triumphs in achieving all their objectives7 and the facts that they crushed Ukrainian counteroffensive and occupy a fifth of Ukraine, NATO high officials keep making such outrageous claims. Is there in NATO not anyone more intelligent to be a General Secretary? They extended his term, which was unprecedented, because they could not find anyone else to replace him. Imagine then the IQ level of others. We wonder what the requirements for the job are, because judging from Stoltenberg's qualities, it's not like the standards are high. What is required the most is to hate and fear Russia, deceive the public as much as possible, and be a US puppet.

So, the hurrah narrative^[+]^[+] goes something like this: Russia failed to take Kyiv in three days, and NATO gained new strong allies with an expansion to the east as a result of Russia’s actions. Heh, that's clever. Finland is in, la-di-da. The Finns got an ooh-la-la seven-layer wedding cake (with no cherry on top but who needs cherries anyway, right?) and… an annual bill to pay for membership in the amount of 2,3%^[+] of GDP ($6.48 billion^[+] a year, which directly or indirectly goes mostly to the US military industry and US troops), increased tensions and border security costs, and a new nemesis across its border. But, never mind that Russia got much more powerful allies such as China, Iran, North Korea, Middle East, India, Brazil, whole of Africa… as a result of NATO's actions. Oy! We are not supposed to talk about that. Sorry.

If Russia is losing or even already lost the war, how come Russians control one fifth of Ukrainian territory^[+]? That is a large chunk of Ukraine with at least $12,4 trillion^[+]^[ꚛ] worth of Ukraine's energy, metal, and mineral deposits, which before the conflict in 2013 used to generate $43,3 billion a year^[+]! Also, they collect over $2 billion^[+] in tax revenues from four new regions every year. If Russia failed, how come it still controls important economic assets such as the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, which provided up to 20% of whole Ukraine's prewar power generation capacity? If Russia already lost the war, how come they kept Crimea, gained Ukraine's entire Azov Sea coastline with a land bridge to Crimea, rescued ethnic Russians from Ukrainian tyranny, sized about one-fifth of Ukraine, eliminated most of the neo-Nazis, prevented Ukraine from joining NATO, destroyed many US-funded biolabs^[+]^[»]^[+]^[»]^[+]^[+»]^[»], crushed NATO's economies, demilitarized not just Ukraine but also NATO – depleted NATO's military stockpiles^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+], and made huge geopolitical gains (multipolarity, BRICS expansion, the world is siding with Russia and standing up against the Western powers, de-dollarization, NATO's division8^[+], de-colonization of Russian allies in Africa and Middle East such as Niger and Palestine; after the "EU-Israel-Saudi Arabia-India" transportation corridor ended with Israeli-Palestinian war, with its "North-South" corridor, Russia nullified British and American military bases, which controlled the main routes of world trade and thus held the world economy hostage, and so Russian economy got a huge boost as well increasing its geopolitical power, etc.)??? Uh-oh, I think the bear is inside the house. Clearly, Biden, Blinken, Sullivan, Nuland, and Harris need their heads examined. Their theory makes no sense, solves nothing, and is just speculation. It's not even wrong. It's worse than wrong. People die because of it. Oops. Ouch. Psst, let's skip that part, they say! If we just deny it, maybe it’ll go away, right? Those spice guys, they wanna, really really really wanna zig-a-zig-ah.

There is no amount of repeating “Russia has lost roughly half of its military capabilities”^[+]^[+], which can change the true reality on the battleground. This is supposed to prove deteriorating Russian capabilities to all the ignorant people, who fall for Kyiv and NATO propaganda. EU President von der Leyen said^[+] that in mid-January 2024 but it seems she didn't get the new memo and by mistake used the old, outdated one as this was something that most NATO propaganda outlets already claimed^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+] half a year ago on 4 July 2023, citing UK armed forces chief, Admiral Sir Tony Radakin. So, if we do the math, Russia lost 0 capabilities in those 6 months during the famous Ukrainian counteroffensive. However, just couple months earlier, on 27 April 2023, CNN reported that Russia's army was bigger than at the start of the SMO in 2022, according to US General and senior US military commander in Europe Christopher Cavoli who told it to the US Congress^[»]^[»]^[+]^[»]^[+]. In mid-December 2023, NATO outlets reported^[+]^[+] that Russia has lost nearly 90% of its prewar army.

So, let's recapitulate: in April 2023, Russia's army was bigger than at the start but in next couple months by July 2023, it suddenly lost half of its military capabilities; in mid-December 2023, Russia has lost 90% of army, and then by January 2024, military capabilities stayed the same as 6 months ago. See the inconsistencies, the lies?

Despite their constant fanciful claims how Russian military and economy have collapsed, there is a huge hole in that narrative because at the same time, NATO officials make the contradictory claim – the fearmongering narrative that Russia plans to attack many European NATO countries, as if that makes sense: Russians are losing and so weak that they will attack NATO next! Go figure. They offer no motive, no evidence, no credible witnesses (no Russian authorities have ever said that but denied those claims), and no proof of possibility (they claim Russia is very weak, which contradicts their fearmongering narrative).

All their claims are based on Kyiv propaganda, taking it as a gospel, not even bothering to fact-check any of it. Because, who is supposed to know better about Russian military capabilities – Kyiv or Moscow authorities? If they checked what Russian authorities claim, this would not fit their narrative that Russia is losing the war. As it turns out, according to the real sources, Russian Ministry of Defense, Russia not only did not lose half of its military capabilities but it increased many times! In December 2023, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu said^[+] that since February 2022, the output of tanks has increased 5,6 times, armored vehicles – 3,5-3,6 times, drones – 16,8 times, and artillery shells – 17,5 times! The manpower strength has raised to 1,15 million men! They started their SMO with less than 150.000 troops. The number of volunteers increased seven times.
And if you do not believe the Russians, then look at the military strength rankings of the US News & World Report^[+]^[+]^[ꚛ](the owner is Mortimer Zuckerman, a son of Ukrainian Jewish immigrants^[+], thus no Russian propaganda), where Russia is ranked as No.1 military in the world surpassing the US military in 2023. Now, think about it, is it possible for Russia to lose half of its military capabilities and by doing so become No.1 military in the world?
Furthermore, consider the fact that Russian troops have liberated five times more territory than the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics occupied before the beginning of the special military operation. Four regions with a territory of over 83 thousand square kilometers and a population of close to five million people have joined Russia. All while losing half of its military capabilities?

➡ The Western and Ukrainian propaganda narrative goes: Ukraine is winning and Russia is losing. They go on to say that Russia is losing because it didn't succeed in occupying the whole of Ukraine. But they omit to mention that Russia never meant to do that! The fact that Russia ended up occupying and annexing Ukrainian territories (where ethnic Russians are a majority as they have lived there for centuries) was only because Western puppet Zelensky did not want to negotiate peace to keep pre-2022 borders.

When have Russian officials ever said that their objective was to occupy Ukraine? They constantly said the opposite, such as:

In his address on the eve of the start of Russian SMO on 24 February 2022, President Putin made it clear: "It is not our plan to occupy the Ukrainian territory." He reiterated it many times, such as on 16 March 2022 (cited by Russian Embassy in London) ^[+]: "The movement of Russian forces against Kiev and other Ukrainian cities is not connected with a desire to occupy that country. This is not our goal."^[+]
On 6 August 2023, New York Times journalist^[+] asked Dmitri S. Peskov, the Kremlin’s spokesman, whether Russia wants to occupy new Ukrainian territories, and he said “No. We just want to control all the land we have now written into our Constitution as ours.” He meant Crimea, and territories of the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions that Russia annexed last year.
During March-April 2022 peace negotiations in Minsk and Istanbul, Russians already agreed^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[»] to withdraw all their troops without occupying any territories (save for Crimea) but Zelensky backed off from that deal and kept on repeating the negative affirmations about Putin and Russia, so no wonder that he manifested all that!
As many reports prove, including the videos with the members of Ukrainian delegation during March/April 2022 peace negotiations such as head of Zelensky's political party, Davyd Arakhamia^[»]^[»] with former Deputy Foreign Minister of Ukraine Alexander Chaly^[»], and then-Zelensky’s adviser and spokesperson Oleksiy Arestovych^[+»], Putin was ready to end the war^[»]^[+] already in the first weeks upon launching his SMO under one main condition: Ukraine had to enshrine “permanent neutrality” in its Constitution, nothing much else, which was all very reasonable, but then Zelensky rejected it due to pressure from the UK and the US, who wanted Ukraine as a NATO member and as a pawn to debilitate Russia. Despite the fact that in March 2022, Russia was ahead and winning (in just matter of days, they seized a quarter of Ukraine – conquered 27% of Ukrainian territories), Putin agreed to withdraw Russian troops and so all the borders would stay the same as before, thus Ukraine would have preserved its territorial integrity and sovereignty. The peace talks were so successful and advantageous to Ukraine that Ukrainian delegation already opened a champagne to celebrate it, as then-Zelensky’s spokesperson Arestovych said^[+»]. This proves that Russia never meant to occupy Ukraine! It also totally destroys the “imperator Putin” narrative^[*^]!
Along with countless other Western experts, John Mearsheimer (American political scientist and international relations scholar, Professor at the University of Chicago), has been debunking^[»] Zelensky’s propaganda that Putin intends to conquer or occupy Ukraine and that after Ukraine, he will invade Europe. He explained here^[»] how the peace negotiations in March 2022, immediately after the start of Russian SMO, prove that Putin and Russia never planned to occupy Ukraine because they agreed to withdrew all troops from Ukraine if Ukraine would meet the basic terms of remaining neutral, demilitarizing, and respecting the human rights of ethnic Russians in Donbas9.

But with the insistent Kyiv & NATO narrative “Russians lie all the time” and “don’t believe Russian propaganda” nobody takes Putin and Russians seriously, which is to their detriment. Because, by affirming such a thing, Ukrainians and their allies call it into a reality – this is called "manifestation" or "law of attraction."

“If you keep on saying things are going to be bad, you have a good chance of being a prophet.” - Isaac Bashevis Singer

➡ Besides the false narrative that Russia’s aim was to occupy the whole of Ukraine, there were many other false narratives making headlines in the Western mass media, such as the one that Putin’s plan to quick victory failed, whereby some propagandists^[+] went as far as to claim that Putin planned to win in three days and failed.

As usual, of course they offered no evidence to back up their claims because, as they assume moral and intellectual superiority, they assume a role of high priests whom we should all just blindly trust, believe, and fund without questioning. And if you question or, God forbid, oppose them, you are an evil or pitiful Putinist, of course. Counting on public’s gullibility, no Western authorities among politicians, academic “experts”, and media ever bothered to make any effort to provide any evidence or justification for their claims because there were none! Because, how does one prove or justify that a tiny army of alleged10 140.000 invading soldiers could have ever intended to occupy a land with 40+ million people and then in only three days?!

Actually, they did occupy much of Ukraine (some 27%) in a matter of days, which is quite an achievement, so no failure there.

The matter of fact is that it was not Putin but the US intelligence officials that believed that “Kyiv could fall to Russia within days”, as reported^[+] by CNN. In other words NATO officials projected their thoughts onto Putin. The report says that “the initial US assessment from before the invasion – which anticipated that the Ukrainian capital would be overrun within one to four days of a Russian attack – remains the current expectation.” Now, consider how “intelligent” must US intelligence officials be when they make such a ridiculous, unintelligent assessment. To expect that Russian army of only less than 30.000^[+] troops should have seized a heavily fortified US-controlled Kyiv^[+] with three million residents^[+]in just three days! When has the US or NATO army ever seized such a big town in a few days?! Never. For instance, it took a whole 9 months for the US and all its allies to take the five times smaller Iraqi city of Mosul (with 1,5 million population at that time) in the 2017 battle^[+]. By expecting Russians to take five times larger city of Kyiv in just three days, were they saying that they deemed Russian army to be much more capable than NATO army? Or were they only saying that to then publicly demean Russian army at failing at it? Take your pick. Either way, Putin never planned to take Kyiv in three days and so never failed at it. Russians didn’t even try to take Kyiv at all, as evident by the fact that there was no battle for Kyiv, which we prove and explain in the segment titled “Kyiv Retreat”^[*^].

But they expect us to believe that a lone Russia with less than 30.000 troops^[+] planned to take almost five times larger than Mosul city of Kyiv (839 km² 324 sq mi; 3 million population) in just 3 days! And then they declared Russians as losers for not achieving it. Ba-dum-tss, badum tish!

If Putin wanted to take Kyiv in 3 days, this^[»] is how it would look like, so let's rejoice that this is not true.

The planned "three day" capture of Kyiv was allegedly verified^[+] by the “trustworthy” Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) posting on Facebook a non-existent video of a captured Russian soldier claiming his unit was sent into Ukraine with food supplies for only three days. And that claim is all the evidence they had for the alleged 3-day war plan! How ludicrous are all these NATO propagandists and how stupid must be all those who believed it! Was his unit supposed to have food supplies for years or what? Don’t troops get fresh food after three days? Russian troops were on the outskirts of Kyiv for 40 days, so how did they survive if they all got food supplies for only three days? What an IQ must they have to believe or expect others to believe that 3-day food supplies meant 3-day war plan?!

NATO propaganda outlets and self-proclaimed experts^[+]^[+] came out with insane headlines and statements like “The Kremlin dictator aimed at ‘blitzkrieg’ – a quick invasion in Ukraine” and “Putin’s plan to take Kyiv in three days failed” but where did they get this alleged quick aim and plan from? When did Kremlin ever mentioned anything like that?! Never.

For comparison, it took a whole 9 months for the US and all its allies with around 110.000 troops against just around 10.000 IS militants to take the Iraqi city of Mosul (180 km² or 70 sq mi; 1,5 million population at that time) in the 2017 battle^[+]. But they expect us to believe that a lone Russia with less than 30.000 troops^[+] planned to take almost five times larger than Mosul city of Kyiv (839 km² 324 sq mi; 3 million population) in just 3 days! And then they declared Russians as losers for not achieving it. Ba-dum-tss, badum tish!
If Putin wanted to take Kyiv in 3 days, this^[»] is how it would look like, so let's rejoice that this is not true.

NATO spin doctors keep on absurdly declaring “Russia’s plans”, which Russia never planned let alone claimed! NATO authorities do it all the time so that they could claim that Russia failed at those plans. Yippie! We won! Russia failed! It is pathetic that they need to resort to such ridiculous means to be able to declare their fake victory and Russia’s theoretical failure but such absurdities work only on the gullible, low-conscious listeners who are out of touch with reality. However, this fake-it-till-you-make-it trick isn't working on everyone!

➡ Besides the false narrative that Putin’s plan was to occupy the whole of Ukraine and not only that but to do it quickly, there have been many other false narratives making headlines in the Western mass media, such as the one that Russia is losing because it is losing its soldiers here and there. The Western propaganda machine has given life to a triumphalist narrative that Ukraine is defeating Russia and is scoring victories by glorifying the killings of many Russian soldiers. When has killing adversary’s soldiers ever meant “winning the war”? It is a war, so it is normal that many soldiers get killed on both sides. Russia lost 14 million people in the WWII and won the war anyway! The whole of Soviet Union lost over 26 million^[+]^[+]^[+] of people and they still won! So, it is ridiculous to rationalize alleged Ukrainian winning by the evidence that they killed hundred Russian soldiers here and hundred there. Ukrainian small triumphs are nothing compared to Russian huge gains, which mostly go unreported in the one-sided, biased, pro-Ukrainian Western media. As we will explain in the next segment, the Russian casualties’ figures given by Ukrainian Defence Ministry are a fiction but even if it were true, this is by no means a proof that Russians are losing.

When they could not hide it any longer, even though nothing much changed in terms of territorial changes, since late 2023 headlines started to pop up, such as

🟢 Putin Has Victory in His Grasp^[+] – the New York Times11 in 2024
🟢 The Looming Ukraine Debacle (“rather than the West teaching Russia a lesson and putting Putin in his place, the opposite may occur”)^[+] – National Interest in April 2024
🟢 Putin's Russia is closing in on a devastating victory^[+] – The Telegraph12 in Dec. 2023
🟢 Putin is close to victory. Europe should be terrified^[+] – The Telegraph in Dec. 2023
🟢 Putin seems to be winning the war in Ukraine–for now^[+] – The Economist13 in Nov. ‘23
🟢 Ukraine CAN'T win the war because they are a junior high team playing a college team” – US Senator Tuberville told in August 2023 as reported by Daily Mail^[+], Hill^[+]
🟢 Ukraine and the West are facing a devastating defeat^[+] – The Telegraph, July 2023

Despite ISW, RUSI, and other NATO propaganda farm variety, some bits of truth about the reality on the battlefields occasionally manages to slip through but rarely without the accompanying counterbalance of heavy ridicule as in “Russian forces showed strength in capturing XYZ towns but they did so with meat waves generating zillion casualties,” and so on.

NATO/US officials tried to conceal their faults and mistake of underestimating Russia's power by throwing all kinds of narratives reasoning why Russia is not losing and one such was China providing geospatial intelligence to Russia^[+]. They can't admit they have been defeated by Russia singlehandedly. All of their hyped experts underestimated Russia's power in every aspect – its economic power to withstand all sanction, military power and production capacity, as well as its influence and friends in the world.

“Artillery decides battles. Who has more wins,” said^[+] Capt. Vladyslav Slominsky, the artillery commander of AFU14. They all admitted^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+] that Russia has much more, therefore he was indirectly admitting Russia winning the war.

The fact that the US has someone of unsound mind like Biden as a head of state, whom over 81 million Americans (out of 159.6 million voters) voted for and look up to, says a lot about the cleverness of American folk and why America is going down.

“As democracy is perfected, the office represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people.” – H.L. Mencken, an American journalist, essayist, and scholar

If this is whom the majority chose to represent them and if they have no one better to lead them, then we ought to feel sorry for them. Especially if most of them believe him that Russia or Putin really lost the war in Ukraine and keep on treating Russians as losers. Living in a delusion will only further harm them. Anyone who lives in the delusion that Ukraine is winning and Russia is losing this war will end up in some adversity, as everyone and everything is connected on some level and each notion has an impact on our lives, like the butterfly effect15.

While on the topic of having no one better to represent them, the same applies to NATO that could not find anyone better than Jens Stoltenberg^[+] to represent them, so they extended his term as General Secretary of NATO from 2014-2024. There is plenty evidence proving how unworthy he is of that position, which suggests he is nothing but a puppet, but perhaps this one evidence^[»] suffice and one needs no more to realize his cognitive dysfunction.

The issue is not how clearly mentally challenged he is but how such person is allowed to head a military organization that is responsible for deaths of millions of innocent people and no one holds him accountable or his puppet-masters. He is NATO secretary general since 2014 and during his tenure, NATO has bombed and invaded many countries (Libya, Syria, Yemen, Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia...) as well as planned, funded, and orchestrated many other proxy wars like the one in Ukraine.

As a rule of thumb, looking back many centuries, it is proven over and over again that invaders can never win in the long run. But, apart from having already proven^[*] that Russians are not invaders, this war can't be compared to any foreign invasions or occupation wars (e.g. the US invasions in Vietnam^[+], Iraq^[+], Afghanistan^[+], etc.) that never succeed in the long run because this war is about locals (Russian ethnic minorities) with the help of a kindred superpower (Russia) fighting against the repressive and oppressive regime with its foreign superpower ally (NATO).

Of course, Ukraine can win some small battles but not the war. The Ukrainian Army has not won a single major battle so far. It was defeated in battles for over 2.012^[*^] towns and villages such as cities and towns of Mariupol, Melitopol, Volnovakha, Enerhodar, Rubizhne, Popasna, Kreminna, Toshkivka, Sievierodonetsk, Lysychansk, Pisky, Soledar, Bakhmut/Artyomovsk, Maryinka, Avdeevka, Lastochkyne, Orlivka, Pervomaiske^[ꚛ], Vodyane^[ꚛ], Novomykhailivka^[ꚛ], Ocheretyne^[ꚛ], Zalizne^[ꚛ], Krasnogorivka^[ꚛ], Vuhledar^[ꚛ], Selydove^[ꚛ], and other cities, towns, and villages. Logically, Russia has suffered many losses here and there and made mistakes such as the fiasco in Vuhledar in February 2023 but overall, Russians have been defeating the Ukrainians by and large. The proof is in the pudding, just look at the military maps^[+]^[+].

This war is a classic case of wars rarely if ever going as planned. The goal of Russia was not to enter into a war with Ukraine but to conduct a special military operation to drive Ukraine to the negotiating table for a rapid conclusion to the Donbas war^[+]^[+] that lasted 8 years since 2014 and cost more than 14.000 lives^[+]. The UN did nothing to stop the war for 8 long years, so Russia stepped in. And this goal would have been achieved (Zelensky already accepted Putin’s proposal in March 2022^[+]^[+]) if NATO leaders hadn't prevented it.

According to peace talks mediators, former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett^[+]^[+]^[+]^[»]^[»], Turkish foreign minister Mevlut Cavusoglu^[+], former German Chancellor Schröder^[+]^[+], the Ukrainian^[+]^[+]^[»]^[»]^[+»]^[+]^[+] and Russian^[+]^[+] delegations, as well as Putin himself^[+]^[+], WSJ^[+],and others^[+]^[+], during March and April 2022, Zelensky and Putin agreed to a peace deal^[+]^[+]^[+] that was advantageous to Ukraine and somewhat disadvantageous to Russia because Russia would have retreated from seized territories, all the borders would have stayed the same and Ukraine would have preserved its territorial integrity but Donbas would have autonomy status within Ukraine (like Crimea had before). The only things that Russia demanded was Ukrainian neutrality and demilitarization, which Ukrainians accepted.

The Five-Points Peace Plan^[+]^[+]^[+] was: Ukraine's rejection of NATO membership, two official languages in Ukraine, Donbas autonomy, security guarantees for Ukraine, and future negotiations on the status of Crimea. But Boris Johnson (on behalf of Biden) talked Zelensky out of it using the Bucha massacre as a deal breaker, which conveniently for NATO happened at the time (and never again, hmm) but which Russia proved to be a false flag operation^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+] to prevent a peace deal (NATO wanted to harm Russia and to get Crimea at any cost).

This is when the Russian special military operation turned into a war – NATO proxy war^[*^]^[+] against Russia. Not because Russia wanted it but because NATO leaders did.

Major circumstantial evidence that Russia had no intention to wage a war against Ukraine is the fact that all until 10 April 2022, when Zelensky abandoned peace talks, Russia did not even have a single military leader for all Russian forces. In history of humankind, whenever a country decided to invade or wage a war against another country, it always had a main general in charge of the whole military operation, which is crucial for a military victory, so the fact that Russia did not have one at all until 10 April 2022, it proves that it had no intention to wage a serious war.

This circumstantial evidence is further fostered by fact that Putin had no competent general to wage a war – without a military commander, it would be stupid to start a war. The evidence that Putin had no military commander to wage a war is the fact that it took him almost a year to find one and so in the first year of the special military operation in Ukraine, Putin changed as many as four generals to take command!

On 10 April 2022, Putin appointed General Aleksandr Dvornikov to head the whole Army a month later (May 2022) replaced him with General Gennady Zhidko^[+], who was released from duty a month later (probably due to cancer as he died of it^[+] in August 2023) and officially replaced in October 2022 by General Sergey Surovikin, who, too, was replaced a couple months later in 11 January 2023 by Valery Gerasimov, who has been the Commander of the Joint Group of Forces in the Special Military Operation zone ever since (in Ukraine, this position was held by general Valerii Zaluzhny since 27 July 2021 and by Aleksandr Syrsky* since February 2024). The mere fact that in the first year of SMO, Russia changed four generals as the Commander of the Joint Group of Forces, it is very telling how unintentional SMO was.

* Aleksandr Syrsky^[+] is ethnic Russian who was born in 1965 in Russia’s Vladimir Region when both Russia and Ukraine were part of the Soviet Union. He graduated from a military academy in Moscow in 1986 when he was sent to serve in the Ukrainian SSR where he stayed to this day. His parents and brother live in Russia and are pro-Putin^[+] and are ashamed^[+] of him. Syrsky's two sons, Anton and Ivan, consider^[+]^[»] themselves Russian and call their father a “traitor”^[+] and “scumbag” (podlec) and don’t communicate with him because he “sold his homeland for his career”^[+] and is “a careerist who betrayed his family, cheated on his wife…”^[+]^[+]^[+]^[+]
According to Zelensky, Syrsky played a major role in the 2022 defense of Kyiv against Russia and the offensive in Kharkiv later that year but we all know that Russians willingly retreated from those territories, no thanks to him but as a goodwill gesture during peace negotiations and as they changed strategy when peace talks failed. It is rather pathetic that the whole of Ukraine has not a single ethnic Ukrainian general to be a commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine but they need to use a Russian general and a graduate from Moscow military academy to take command, even though he is deeply unpopular among the rank and file of the Ukrainian military, who view^[+] him as a “butcher” willing to sacrifice waves of troops. Syrsky is a controversial choice, best known for “leading forces into a meat grinder in Bakhmut [called Artyomovsk in Russia], sending wave after wave of troops to face opposition fire,” as Politico wrote^[+]. Since he is demilitarizing Ukraine – eagerly sacrificing Ukrainian troops left and right in a never-ending cycle of fruitless assaults that drain personnel, one has to wonder, is he secretly working for Russia? It is not like such thing never happened in war history.
For instance, a Turkish commander Mustafa Mümin Aksoy^[+] acting as a Greek commander during Greece's occupation of Turkey in the last years of Ottoman Empire and the Turkish War of Independence 1919-1922 (there is TV series about it – Vatanim Sensin, Wounded Love in English^[+]^[»]^[»]).
How desperate and pathetic Ukraine is, it is evident in the fact that they gave the most important job in the military (and country for that matter) to a loser who notoriously not just lost Bakhmut battle and all other battles he commanded but made fatal mistakes to defend the towns to the bitter end, sacrificing the top soldiers instead of saving them to defend other places after it was obvious it was futile to keep fighting losing battles.
Ukrainian President is Jewish, Minister of Defense is ethnic Crimean Tatar, Commander-in-chief is ethnic Russian – it looks like Russians successfully denazified the Ukrainian military leadership (no neo-Nazi Banderites16 there anymore) but what's up with ethnic Ukrainians? No competent people to lead the country's military?
While on the topic of Ukrainian authorities betraying their Russian family, fiercely Russophobic aide to Ukrainian President Zelensky and chief propagandist, Mikhail Podoliak, admitted^[+] that his older brother is a Russian citizen, was a retired officer in the Russian military intelligence (GRU) living in Moscow until he died^[+] in July 2024.
And how desperate NATO and Ukraine must be when they tried to buy the Russian Soviet-era military equipment from Ecuador for Ukraine?! The US offered to pay them $200 million for what they have been calling the "scrap metal."^[+] And that is despite the fact that by legally binding document, Ecuador was prohibited17 to do it without Russia’s consent and so breaking the law as well as breaking the relationship with Russia thereby losing a trade deal worth $757 million as Moscow sanctioned Ecuadorian banana exports^[+]. The head of the Banana Exporters’ Association, said^[+] that 25.000 jobs rely on Ecuador’s exports to Russia, so Ecuador shoot itself in a foot by succumbing to the US demands announcing on 10 January 2024 that they would hand its Russian-made military hardware over to the US in exchange for new equipment worth $200 million. Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa is the heir to a banana fortune and was elected as president in November 2023, so in the end, on 19 February, Ecuador revoked^[+] its decision to give its Soviet weapons away to the US and Ukraine, which means that Russia defeated the US and Ukraine in this plot. US Southern Command Commander Laura Richardson said in January 2023 that the armed forces of Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua and six other Latin American countries have Russian-made weapons in their arsenals and the US is working to "replace these Russian weapons with American ones if said countries agree to transfer them to Ukraine." How desperate is that?! What happened to all the NATO weaponry? On top of that, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba said^[+] Western countries are (desperately) looking for ammunition in third countries due to a lack of their own to send to Kyiv. Czechia began to push a plan^[+] to jointly finance the purchase of 800.000 artillery shells outside the NATO bloc – from South Korea, Turkey, and South Africa.

At the start of the military operation, Russia overextended along the giant front and had no sufficient resources, logistics, and fortifications in place to sustain all captured territories when NATO states started to pump up Ukraine with additional military aid, which naïve Russians didn't expect initially. They started the military operation to force Ukrainian authorities to the negotiation table to either implement the Minsk agreements^[+]^[+] signed in 2014 and 2015 or a new variation of it (such as instead of autonomy, they demanded independence of the Donbas republics). However, they found themselves fighting the collective West – NATO, not just Ukraine. This required regrouping and re-strategizing, of course. This transition required a (temporary) withdrawal. A retreat is not the same as defeat, of course, but good luck telling that to Ukrainians and their allies.

When it comes to Russian territorial losses in April (northern territories, including the outskirts of Kyiv), September (Kharkiv), and November (Kherson) of 2022, in a bit, we will provide evidence for strategical retreats rather than defeats but first, it must be emphasized that with a such a small army (around 145.00018 troops until September 202219) against a country with 40+ million population, it is obvious that Russia's plan was not to occupy the land. They would have needed a couple of million troops for that, especially knowing that NATO was equipping and training Ukraine for many years.

As we already explained in previous segment, in 2022, Ukrainians had more than 7 times as many fighters out there on active duty – 145.000^[+] Russian troops were up against 1.070.00020 Ukrainian troops (minus the casualties), which is why they retreated from Kharkiv, and Kherson in 2022 as they were overstretched and hugely outnumbered.
In February 2022, Russians came into Ukraine with less than 100.000 troops^[+] (even though the West inflates the Russian numbers, they reported^[+] that Russia had attacked with more than half of the 150.000-plus troops it had arrayed around Ukraine, which means more than 75.000 troops) plus around 40.000 former east Ukrainian Donbas militia^[+], and less than 5.000 fighters^[+] from the Wagner Group, nevertheless, despite being hugely outnumbered, Russians managed to seize Eastern and Southern Ukraine – what does that say about the quality of Ukrainian force? Especially, given that, commonly, the army that is on the offensive needs three times more troops than the one that is on the defensive. Ukraine had a standing army of 265.200, which by July 2022, grew to more than a million defense troops, according to then-Defense Minister Reznikov^[+]^[+] while Russia was on the offense in February 2022 with only less than 145.000 troops inside Ukraine, yet it defeated Ukrainians and seized around 27% of Ukraine at the time. What’s more, the most Ukrainian troops had the advantage of being battle-hardened by their 8-year war against Donbas while most Russian soldiers (apart from a first few thousand Wagner soldiers, not the convicts; Donbas rebels were Ukrainians, not Russians) had not any combat experience at all, yet this advantage, too, didn't work much in their favor either (although, Russians did retreat from some areas).

Strategically, the initial plan of Russians was to seize some surplus land and then when it came to peace negotiations, they would be able to make some concessions, as expected, by giving away these spare territories that they never really considered keeping anyway as it is too problematic and too costly to govern fiercely hostile residents – metaphorically speaking, they don't want to swallow a porcupine. This way they would get to keep Crimea and Donbas while feigning to give away plenty of other occupied territories when in the end they get to make gains as planned. And so, by making such territorial concessions, they would be in a position to demand concessions from Ukraine, such as recognition of Crimea and Donbas as parts of Russia and assurance of neutrality in regards to NATO.

But with NATO states’ involvement and the escalation from military operation to war, especially after Ukrainians started their terrorist attacks on Russian territories (Moscow, Bryansk, and Belgorod regions), this initial plan developed into Russians now needing to secure their border lands, which means they need to push Ukrainians out of artillery range from those Russian territories. They need to secure a buffer zone or “sanitary zone”^[+] to prevent Ukrainians from shelling Russia, which means that Russia then needs to seize back the whole of Eastern Ukraine with Kharkiv, Chernihiv, and Sumy regions, including all regions bordering with Donbas. Under constant attacks and threats from Ukraine and NATO, it is only natural that Russia needs to eliminate all those threats by demilitarizing or grinding down the AFU21 and capturing or taking control of the danger zones.

These new circumstances naturally sparked the aspiration to take back all the former New Russia (Novorossiya)^[+]territories with mostly Russian populations, which were historically Russian until Lenin allocated them to Soviet Ukraine in 1922 under the presumption of central governance in Moscow.

In 1922, while laying the foundation of centralized Soviet statehood, to appease the Ukrainian nationalists, Lenin made some territorial concessions for the sake of a confederative state arrangement – Novorossiya's territories were designated as administrative units of Soviet Ukraine while being governed by Moscow^[+].
In another attempt to rewrite history (like with convicted murderer Bandera and his Nazi OUN and UPA units^[+]^[+] being since recently portrayed as heroes and granted veteran status^[+] with all its benefits, hundreds^[+] monuments raised in their honor), despite all the archived documents as evidence of how and why the territory of modern Ukraine was formed (the Declaration on the Formation of the USSR in 1922^[+] and the 1924 Soviet Constitution^[+]), Ukrainian nationalists (who do not bother to read the historical documents) are dismissing these facts without providing any evidence about how, who, and when had Ukraine actually conquered this Novorossiya lands that belonged to Russian Empire for centuries.
“He who controls the past controls the future. He who controls the present controls the past.” – George Orwell, book “1984”
The historical fact is that Ukrainians have never acquired those territories thanks to any Ukrainian accomplishment but thanks to the bighearted Russian Bolsheviks who did anything to wage peace and form the Soviet Union after the collapse of the Russian Empire in the aftermath of WWI and civil war^[+]. Just as these days, Ukrainians always used other countries, like Germany and Poland, to gain some territories and declare some quasi-independence although they were in fact never independent as they were always totally dependent on other countries just like now (without Western aid, Ukraine would collapse). On their own, as folk, Ukrainians never managed to conquer any land from Russia, let alone defeat Russia in any conflict. Russians naively allotted some lands to Ukraine but only under certain conditions, which Ukraine has violated, which is why understandably Russia wants its land back now that Ukraine has become unappreciative and extremely hostile to Russia, killing and tyrannizing its people since 2014. Since Ukrainians hate Lenin so much that they demolished all the monuments of him, then in the Russian view^[+], it is only fair to give back all the land that Lenin allocated to Soviet Ukraine under the Soviet Union in 1922, without even asking the locals’ permission (the majority were Russians).

Russia didn't start its military operation to enter into a war, so until September, it didn't even mobilize new forces that it already had on duty long before the war broke out. Only after a year of conflict, Russia has started to seriously reconsider new objectives and mobilize at a greater capacity to facilitate new, greater objectives^[»]. With continued Ukrainian hostilities backed by NATO, it is almost certain that Russia would not stop until it secures the buffer zones across its new and old borders – most likely including the strategic territories that hold a southern gas pipeline leading to Crimea, as well as Sloviansk town in Donbas, which is the center of the Yuzivska deposit of shale gas^[+] (Hunter Biden was on the board of directors of Ukraine’s largest private gas producer, Burisma, which was supposed to profit billions from shale gas^[+]).

President Putin^[+] explained why Russia had to initially extend the SMO22^[+] beyond the Donbas region in a meeting held via videoconference on 18 March 2022^[+]:

“if our troops had acted only within the people's republics and helped them liberate their territory, it would not have been a final solution, it would not have led to peace and would not have ultimately removed the threat – to our country, this time to Russia. On the contrary, a new frontline would have been extended around Donbass and its borders, and shelling and provocations would have continued. In other words, this armed conflict would have continued indefinitely. It would have been fueled by the revanchist hysteria of the Kiev regime, as NATO deployed its military infrastructure faster and more aggressively. In this case, we would have been faced with the fact that the attack, the offensive weapons of the alliance were already at our borders.”

Russia has no intention to occupy the whole of Ukraine but to demilitarize and denazify it to secure its borders – after that, if it all goes according to plan, it will withdraw from the territories with unfriendly, unappreciative Ukrainian folk. If Russia had the intention to occupy Ukraine with more than 40 million people, obviously, it would not have started the attack with less than 100.000 troops^[+] (even though the West inflates the Russian numbers, they reported^[+] that Russia had attacked with more than half of the 150.000-plus troops it had arrayed around Ukraine, which means more than 75.000 troops), plus 40.000 Donbas and 5.000 Wagner troops. For comparison, when Germany occupied Western Poland in 1939, it attacked (smaller population^[+] and size^[+] than Ukraine) with an army of 2,2 million troops. This is clear proof that Russia had no intention to occupy Ukraine.

Thank you for reading this article and participating in this peace initiative by raising your awareness and, hopefully, your consciousness and spirit. To properly grasp everything, we^[*^]recommend reading the articles of this peace initiative for Ukraine in the proper order, which is listed in the Contents. So if you haven’t read the previous articles, we recommend that you do. This article is part of the “Reality Checks” segment exposing and debunking NATO & Kyiv propaganda. When you are ready, please proceed to the next insightful article in this series: It Is Not About The Acquisition Of Territory

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